Showing posts with label Process. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Process. Show all posts

Monday, June 13, 2016

Semiconductor Fabrication Growth for 2016 and 2017

Estimates by SEMI.org for 2016 and 2017 fab growth are in the article below. 

However Intel/ Micron's XPoint memory introduction in 2016 and developments of other type of 3D processing will impact fab lines capacity and the growth of semiconductor processing equipment.

Some key points from the article:
"Fab equipment spending- ....activity in the 3D NAND, 10nm Logic, and Foundry segments is expected to push equipment spending up to $36 billion in 2016, 1.5% over 2015, and to $40.7 billion in 2017, up 13%."

"leading-edge technologies...also in 3D technologies....more conversions of older fabs may take place, but also additional new fabs and lines may begin construction."


3D process demand for etch and deposition is already impacting Applied Materials; see their recent quarterly results - Orders for the second quarter were $3.45 billion, up 37% from ayear earlier


Ron
Insightful, timely, and accurate semiconductor consulting.
Semiconductor information and news at - http://www.maltiel-consulting.com/








By David Manners  10th June 2016

Nineteen new fabs and lines are forecasted to begin construction in 2016 and 2017, according to SEMI.
While semiconductor fab equipment spending is off to a slow start in 2016, it is expected to gain momentum through the end of the year. For 2016, 1.5% growth over 2015 is expected while 13% growth is forecast in 2017.
Fab equipment spending – including new, secondary, and in-house – was down 2% in 2015. However, activity in the 3D NAND, 10nm Logic, and Foundry segments is expected to push equipment spending up to $36 billion in 2016, 1.5% over 2015, and to $40.7 billion in 2017, up 13%.
Equipment will be purchased for existing fabs, lines that are being converted to leading-edge technology, as well as equipment going into new fabs and lines that began construction in the prior year.
Table 1 shows the regions where new fabs and lines are expected to be built in 2016 and 2017. These projects have a probability of 60% or higher, according to SEMI’s data. While some projects are already underway, others may be subject to delays or pushed into the following year.
Breaking down the 19 projects by wafer size, 12 of the fabs and lines are for 300mm (12-inch), four for 200mm, and three LED fabs (150mm, 100mm, and 50mm). Not including LEDs, the potential installed capacity of all these fabs and lines is estimated at almost 210,000 wafer starts per month (in 300mm equivalents) for fabs beginning construction in 2016 and 330,000 wafer starts per month (in 300mm equivalents) for fabs beginning construction in 2017.
In addition, the transition to leading-edge technologies (as we can see in planar technologies, but also in 3D technologies) creates a reduction in installed capacity within an existing fab. To compensate for this reduction, more conversions of older fabs may take place, but also additional new fabs and lines may begin construction.


Thursday, June 9, 2016

Process Challenges of 3D (Vertical Transistors)

The article below describes the drive toward 3D vertical transistors above the surface of the chip's die.

"3D NAND represents a major departure from today’s planar NAND. In 2D NAND, the fabrication process is dependent on advanced lithography. In 3D NAND, though, vendors are using trailing-edge 40nm to 20nm design rules. Lithography is still used, but it isn’t the most critical step. So for 3D NAND, the challenges shift from lithography to deposition and etch.”

However the new 3D processes are not easy to implement.

"3D NAND introduces a number of new and difficult process steps to the semiconductor industry...."it has introduced several fairly complex and new processes. Uniformity of these processes is critical. So, from my perspective, the challenges here are focused on variability control of several key processes.”


It will be interesting how well Intel and Micron XPoint (see SSD, 3D Vertical NAND, or 3D XPoint?) products will succeed against current 3D products (see November 2012 3D NAND flash is coming)

Ron
Insightful, timely, and accurate semiconductor consulting.
Semiconductor information and news at - http://www.maltiel-consulting.com/


How To Make 3D NAND

Foundries progress with complex combination of high-aspect ratio etch, metal deposition and string stacking.

Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Surprise, Samsung's A9 Processor is 9% Smaller than TSMC''s in iPhone 6s


Chipworks reversed engineered Samsung's and TSMC's A9
Apple is using both Samsung and TSMC to fabricate the microprocessor for the new iPhone 6 and 6s (see the article below). A second source is typically used to cut down the risk of depending on only one fab for key component.  It is very interesting that the die size of Samsung is 96 mm2 while TSMC die size is 8.85% larger at 104.5 mm2.

Apple improved the approach of using a second source. It implemented two versions at the same time. When you develop new complex products such as A9 with an embedding mobile processor inside A9 , there are risks that the new processor would not work. By using one design at TSMC, and a shrunk version at Samsung, Apple got ahead on the learning curve. It gave Apple a chance to implement improvement while shrinking the die. In addition, the shrunk die at Samsung reduces the cost of the A9 die.

It will be interesting to know if there are some performance differences between Samsung and TSMC versions.




Ron
Insightful, timely, and accurate semiconductor consulting.
Semiconductor information and news at - http://www.maltiel-consulting.com/





Chipworks: Both Samsung and TSMC are making the A9 chip for Apple

And the Samsung version is smaller than the TSMC version.


The only thing that most people will need to know about Apple's A9 is that it's a whole lot faster than last year's A8. But for those of you who are more interested in chip design, Chipworks has unearthed an interesting tidbit: there are two different versions of the A9 chip, one manufactured by Samsung and another by Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC). Most interestingly, Samsung's version (the APL0898) has a slightly smaller footprint than the TSMC version (APL1022).
There have long been rumors that Apple was dual-sourcing the A8 from Samsung and TSMC, but this is the first visual proof that we've seen of the practice. iPhone and iPad processors up to and including the A7 were all made by Samsung.
Apple buys other parts from multiple sources including NAND flash and RAM, but the SoC is a major component with bigger implications for performance and power. Chipworks promises a more in-depth look at how the two processors are different, but for now, all we know is that they differ in size.
We have no way to confirm whether the chips in our review samples were made by Samsung or TSMC. iFixit's teardowns found the Samsung version of the A9 in the iPhone 6S and TSMC's version in the iPhone 6S Plus, which makes sense—a larger phone has more room to spare for a larger chip—but that doesn't necessarily mean that all of the phones are being put together this way. In our testing, both the iPhone 6S and 6S Plus benchmarked nearly identically, and both behaved well during Geekbench's thermal throttling test.

Tuesday, May 26, 2015

Apple Propelled IC Growth to +60%/ +20%

My last blog (Semiconductor IC Sales +60% to +20% for 6 Companies) discusses large increase in semiconductor sales for some companies in first quarter of 2015.The driving force behind these large growth is Apple. Apple purchase more than $25B in 2014 (see table below). When Apple started diversifying its semiconductor sources it led to large impact on them. 


2013 Ranking

2014 Ranking


Company


2013


2014

Growth (%) 2013-2014

Market Share (%) 2014
1
1
Samsung 
30.6
32.1
5.1
9.4
2
2
Apple
23.5
25.8
9.8
7.6
3
3
HP
13.7
14.7
7.1
4.3
4
4
Lenovo
9.5
12.8
33.9
3.8
5
5
Dell
9.1
10.3
13.2
3.0
6
6
Sony
7.7
7.4
-2.8
2.2
9
7
Huawei
4.9
6.0
21.6
1.8
7
8
Cisco Systems
5.6
5.8
3.1
1.7
10
9
LG Electronics
4.7
5.5
15.9
1.6
8
10
Toshiba
5.5
5.3
-4.0
1.5


Others
200.2
214.2
7.0
63.0


Total
315.0
339.9
7.9
100.0
Note: Some columns do not add to totals shown because of rounding.
Source: Gartner (January 2015)

Apple demand is large part of TSMC 44% sales growth, GlobalFoundaries 21%, and Hynix 25% in first quarter of 2014.

Apple diversifying its semiconductor supplier started couple years ago (see November 2013 blog http://semiconductorexpert.blogspot.com/2013/11/who-will-fabricate-apple-microprocessors.html ).

When Apple shifted from using Samsung as the only vendor fabricating its microprocessor, it had large impact on Samsung sales. Apple was a major customer of Samsung several years ago. See March 2012 blog Foundry Rankings (Including Samsung’s  iPad, iPhone Breakdown) . 

More about Apple increases reliance on TSMC and adding GlobalFoundaries is in earlier blogs such as April 2015 Next iPhone Be Fabricated at TSMC .





Ron
Insightful, timely, and accurate semiconductor consulting.
Semiconductor information and news at - 
http://www.maltiel-consulting.com/